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TIME: Almanac 1995
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<text id=91TT1485>
<title>
July 08, 1991: Should We Care? Yes, But . . .
</title>
<history>
TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1991
July 08, 1991 Who Are We?
</history>
<article>
<source>Time Magazine</source>
<hdr>
WORLD, Page 39
YUGOSLAVIA
Should We Care? Yes, But...</hdr><body>
<p> During the cold war's long struggle, when one superpower's
gain in territory or influence was a loss for the other, the
maverick communist state of Yugoslavia was a strategic target for
both the U.S. and the Soviet Union. But the region's ethnic
hatredshave been around much longer than that, epitomized by the
rancorous quarrels that touched off World War I.
</p>
<p> Ironically, the end of the East-West conflict has
rekindled those old animosities, tamped down for decades under
communist rule. The re-emergence of Balrivalries unnerves many
in Europe, but Yugoslavia's turmoil today is important--and
dangerous--mostly to its own people and its nearest neighbors.
When reports of fighting in Slovenia reached Washington,
Secretary of State James Baker fell back on some of the old
terminology. "It is truly a powder-keg situation," he said.
Actually, while bloodshed in Yugoslavia is tragic and
unnecessary, this time it does not threaten to ignite a world
war.
</p>
<p> It does, however, increase the risk of a full-scale civil
conflict and the possible involvement of countries with national
minorities living in Yugoslavia, including Hungary, Bulgaria and
Albania. Such an upheaval might also drive thousands of
frightened refugees across the borders into Austria and Italy.
</p>
<p> What worries many is that the spectacle of violent
disintegration in one multi-ethnic federation may increase the
pressure for separatism in other amalgams, like Czechoslovakia,
as well as the Soviet Union's Baltic republics. That is one
reason Moscow last week backed "the unity and territorial
integrity of Yugoslavia."
</p>
<p> Outsiders, however, have done little to head off the
breakup, largely because there have been no obvious ways to do
it. Like Moscow, the U.S. and the European Community are voicing
support for unity and refuse to recognize the secessionist
republics.
</p>
<p> That stance is more an objection to the irresponsible way
the split was carried out than a rejection of the principle of
self-determination. White House spokesman Marlin Fitzwater
explained, "We will not reward unilateral actions that pre-empt
dialogue or the possibility of negotiated solutions."
</p>
<p> In other words, an agreed, peaceful loosening of
Yugoslavia's federal system would be fine. There is no thought
of trying to send any peacekeeping troops into the country, so
the traditional methods of diplomacy are all the outside world
can offer.
</p>
<p> Baker has again appealed to the Yugoslavs to express their
"national aspirations" through bargaining and dialogue. The E.C.
helped arrange the Saturday truce and is urging renewed
negoduring a three-month cooling-off period. The 35-nation
Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe will probably
convene soon, but any action it suggests must have unanimous
approval--including Yugoslavia's. That is appropriate because
in the end this is a crisis the Yugoslavs will have to settle
for themselves.
</p>
<p> By Bruce W. Nelan. Reported by Christopher
Ogden/Washington, with other bureaus
</p>
</body></article>
</text>